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Cup · Slovenia
Bistrica vs Bilje prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bistrica host Bilje in the Cup (Slovenia) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bistrica had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Bilje had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bistrica's last 10 and 6 of Bilje's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bistrica averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Bilje averaged 1.56 scored and 2.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.01 goals from Bistrica and 1.50 from Bilje. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 28%, against 40%, 26% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bistrica (green) and Bilje (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Bilje 1–4 Bistrica
- 30 Apr 2026 · Bistrica 3–0 Bilje
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Bistrica Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Cup matches that day
- Brežice vs Aluminij · 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 - Tabor Sežana vs Koper · 23 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Koper Win @ 1.57 - Triglav vs Nafta · 23 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58