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Welsh Cup · Wales

Trefelin vs Llantwit Major prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo priceFinal score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Trefelin host Llantwit Major in the Welsh Cup (Wales) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Trefelin to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Trefelin 4–1 Llantwit Major.

Going into the match, Trefelin had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19. Llantwit Major had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 24 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Trefelin's last 10 and 6 of Llantwit Major's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Trefelin averaged 0.33 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Llantwit Major averaged 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.13 goals from Trefelin and 1.19 from Llantwit Major. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 20%. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Trefelin (green) and Llantwit Major (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Head-to-head62% – 38%
Goals53% – 47%
Overall strength57% – 42%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
TrefelinWLLDL0.801.9060%50%
Llantwit MajorDLWWD0.902.4060%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Welsh Cup matches that day