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Welsh Cup · Wales
Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Flint Town United host Caernarfon Town in the Welsh Cup (Wales) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Caernarfon Town to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Flint Town United 1–3 Caernarfon Town.
Going into the match, Flint Town United had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. Caernarfon Town had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 31 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Flint Town United's last 10 and 6 of Caernarfon Town's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flint Town United averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Caernarfon Town averaged 2.33 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Flint Town United and 2.82 from Caernarfon Town. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 66%. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Flint Town United (green) and Caernarfon Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flint Town United | LWWLL | 0.80 | 1.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Caernarfon Town | WLDWD | 3.10 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 4 Sep 2026 · Caernarfon Town 3–0 Flint Town United
- 12 Apr 2026 · Caernarfon Town 3–0 Flint Town United
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