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Welsh Cup · Wales

Carmarthen Town vs Newport City prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo priceFinal score 4–5

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Carmarthen Town host Newport City in the Welsh Cup (Wales) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Carmarthen Town to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Carmarthen Town 4–5 Newport City.

Going into the match, Carmarthen Town had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 21. Newport City had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 10 of Carmarthen Town's last 10 and 4 of Newport City's last 10; 10 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Carmarthen Town averaged 2.33 goals scored and 2.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Newport City averaged 1.83 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.82 goals from Carmarthen Town and 2.28 from Newport City. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 32%. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Carmarthen Town (green) and Newport City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Head-to-head71% – 29%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength60% – 39%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Carmarthen TownDLWDL2.202.10100%100%
Newport CityLDDLL1.201.5040%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

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