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Erovnuli Liga · Georgia
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Torpedo Kutaisi host Rustavi in the Erovnuli Liga (Georgia) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.69, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Torpedo Kutaisi 0–1 Rustavi.
Going into the match, Torpedo Kutaisi had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 20. Rustavi had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Torpedo Kutaisi's last 10 and 4 of Rustavi's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Torpedo Kutaisi averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Rustavi averaged 1.14 scored and 0.86 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.34 from Rustavi. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 42%, against 36%, 28% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Torpedo Kutaisi (green) and Rustavi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Kutaisi | DLWDD | 1.80 | 2.00 | 80% | 60% |
| Rustavi | WWLWD | 1.50 | 0.70 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Aug 2026 · Rustavi 1–0 Torpedo Kutaisi
- 5 May 2026 · Torpedo Kutaisi 1–1 Rustavi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.90 |
| Torpedo Kutaisi Win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Erovnuli Liga matches that day
- Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Erovnuli Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 3–1