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Erovnuli Liga · Georgia
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dinamo Tbilisi host Spaeri in the Erovnuli Liga (Georgia) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dinamo Tbilisi 3–1 Spaeri.
Going into the match, Dinamo Tbilisi had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Spaeri had won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Dinamo Tbilisi's last 10 and 8 of Spaeri's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dinamo Tbilisi averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Spaeri averaged 1.08 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.31 goals from Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.14 from Spaeri. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 17%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dinamo Tbilisi (green) and Spaeri (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi | LWWWD | 1.60 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Spaeri | DLLDD | 1.30 | 2.20 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Spaeri 1–2 Dinamo Tbilisi
- 7 May 2026 · Dinamo Tbilisi 2–1 Spaeri
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.15 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Erovnuli Liga matches that day
- Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Erovnuli Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.69 · FT 0–1