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Serie A · Italy
Torino vs Como prediction and preview
27 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Torino host Como in the Serie A (Italy) on 27 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Torino had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Como had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Torino's last 10 and 7 of Como's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Torino averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Como averaged 1.80 scored and 1.27 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.73 goals from Torino and 1.66 from Como. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 59%, against 21%, 26% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Torino (green) and Como (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Como Win | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- AS Roma vs Cagliari · 27 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Sassuolo vs Lazio · 27 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44