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J2 League · Japan
Tochigi City vs Iwaki prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · City Football Station, Tochigi
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tochigi City host Iwaki in the J2 League (Japan) on 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Tochigi City had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19. Iwaki had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Tochigi City's last 10 and 4 of Iwaki's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tochigi City averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Iwaki averaged 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Tochigi City and 1.12 from Iwaki. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 24%, against 35%, 25% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tochigi City (green) and Iwaki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi City | LDDLL | 0.80 | 1.90 | 70% | 70% |
| Iwaki | DDWWL | 1.40 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.47 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.56 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Iwaki Win | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J2 League matches that day
- Imabari vs Ventforet Kofu · 31 Oct 2026, 05:05 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.32 - Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Vanraure Hachinohe vs Montedio Yamagata · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Tokushima Vortis vs Yokohama FC · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Yokohama FC Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23 - Blaublitz Akita vs Fujieda MYFC · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32 - Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Tegevajaro Miyazaki Draw No Bet @ 1.44 - Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare · 31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33