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J2 League · Japan
Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Albirex Niigata host Kataller Toyama in the J2 League (Japan) on 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Albirex Niigata had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Kataller Toyama had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Albirex Niigata's last 10 and 5 of Kataller Toyama's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Albirex Niigata averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Kataller Toyama averaged 1.62 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Albirex Niigata and 1.70 from Kataller Toyama. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 44%, against 26%, 25% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Albirex Niigata (green) and Kataller Toyama (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata | WWLDW | 1.30 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
| Kataller Toyama | LWDDW | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Apr 2026 · Kataller Toyama 2–0 Albirex Niigata
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.23 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.51 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Kataller Toyama Win | 49% | 1.89 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J2 League matches that day
- Imabari vs Ventforet Kofu · 31 Oct 2026, 05:05 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.32 - Tochigi City vs Iwaki · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Vanraure Hachinohe vs Montedio Yamagata · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Tokushima Vortis vs Yokohama FC · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Yokohama FC Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23 - Blaublitz Akita vs Fujieda MYFC · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32 - Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Tegevajaro Miyazaki Draw No Bet @ 1.44 - Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare · 31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33