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J2 League · Japan
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · Yamaha Stadium, Iwata
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jubilo Iwata host Sagan Tosu in the J2 League (Japan) on 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.32, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Jubilo Iwata had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Sagan Tosu had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Jubilo Iwata's last 10 and 4 of Sagan Tosu's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jubilo Iwata averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Sagan Tosu averaged 0.83 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Jubilo Iwata and 1.27 from Sagan Tosu. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 38%, against 36%, 29% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jubilo Iwata (green) and Sagan Tosu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilo Iwata | DDDLW | 1.10 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Sagan Tosu | LWLWW | 0.90 | 1.10 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 47% | 2.06 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.04 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J2 League matches that day
- Imabari vs Ventforet Kofu · 31 Oct 2026, 05:05 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.32 - Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Tochigi City vs Iwaki · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Vanraure Hachinohe vs Montedio Yamagata · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Tokushima Vortis vs Yokohama FC · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Yokohama FC Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Vegalta Sendai vs Omiya Ardija · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.23 - Blaublitz Akita vs Fujieda MYFC · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Tegevajaro Miyazaki Draw No Bet @ 1.44 - Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare · 31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33