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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tigre host Atletico Tucuman in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 24 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Tigre had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Atletico Tucuman had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Tigre's last 10 and 6 of Atletico Tucuman's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tigre averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Atletico Tucuman averaged 1.10 scored and 0.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Tigre and 0.91 from Atletico Tucuman. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 32%, against 54%, 29% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tigre (green) and Atletico Tucuman (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre | DLLLL | 1.00 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
| Atletico Tucuman | LDLLD | 1.00 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Tigre
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| Tigre Win | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Profesional Argentina matches that day
- Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia · 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 - Banfield vs Lanus · 24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.30 - Gimnasia M. vs Platense · 23 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin · 23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Gimnasia L.P. Win @ 1.67