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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gimnasia L.P. host Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Gimnasia L.P. Win — Gimnasia L.P. to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gimnasia L.P. had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Sarmiento Junin had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Gimnasia L.P.'s last 10 and 7 of Sarmiento Junin's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gimnasia L.P. averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Sarmiento Junin averaged 1.50 scored and 2.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Gimnasia L.P. and 1.23 from Sarmiento Junin. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 22%, against 57%, 27% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gimnasia L.P. (green) and Sarmiento Junin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia L.P. | WDDDD | 1.40 | 1.60 | 90% | 60% |
| Sarmiento Junin | DDWLD | 1.60 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Apr 2026 · Sarmiento Junin 1–2 Gimnasia L.P.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Gimnasia L.P. Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Gimnasia L.P. form and statistics
- Sarmiento Junin form and statistics
- Liga Profesional Argentina statistics
Other Liga Profesional Argentina matches that day
- Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia · 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 - Banfield vs Lanus · 24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.30 - Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman · 24 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Gimnasia M. vs Platense · 23 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.44