Home › League stats › Liga Profesional Argentina › Gimnasia M. vs Platense
Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Gimnasia M. vs Platense prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gimnasia M. host Platense in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 23 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gimnasia M. had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Platense had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Gimnasia M.'s last 10 and 5 of Platense's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gimnasia M. averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Platense averaged 1.25 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Gimnasia M. and 0.94 from Platense. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 26%, against 42%, 33% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gimnasia M. (green) and Platense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia M. | LWLDL | 1.20 | 1.20 | 30% | 50% |
| Platense | LDDWL | 0.80 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Platense 1–1 Gimnasia M.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.70 |
| Gimnasia M. Win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Profesional Argentina matches that day
- Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia · 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 - Banfield vs Lanus · 24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.30 - Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman · 24 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin · 23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Liga Profesional Argentina
Published pick: Gimnasia L.P. Win @ 1.67