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Premier League · Wales
The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC · Park Hall, Oswestry
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
The New Saints host GAP Connah S Quay FC in the Premier League (Wales) on 31 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is The New Saints Win — The New Saints to win. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, The New Saints had won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 42 and conceding 6. GAP Connah S Quay FC had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of The New Saints's last 10 and 5 of GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home The New Saints averaged 3.60 goals scored and 0.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home GAP Connah S Quay FC averaged 1.89 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from The New Saints and 0.74 from GAP Connah S Quay FC. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 15%, against 71%, 18% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New Saints | WWWWW | 4.20 | 0.60 | 50% | 80% |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | WWWWW | 2.10 | 0.60 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| The New Saints Win | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| The New Saints 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| The New Saints HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Cardiff MET vs Penybont · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Penybont Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20