Cardiff MET vs Penybont prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Cyncoed Campus, Cardiff

The PunterPick prediction

Penybont Over 0.5 GoalsOdds 1.20Market probability 78%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Cardiff MET host Penybont in the Premier League (Wales) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Penybont Over 0.5 Goals — Penybont Over 0.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Cardiff MET had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Penybont had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Cardiff MET's last 10 and 7 of Penybont's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cardiff MET averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Penybont averaged 1.73 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Cardiff MET and 1.14 from Penybont. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 31%, against 25%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Cardiff MET (green) and Penybont (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%

Attack35% – 65%

Defence46% – 54%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals38% – 62%

Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Cardiff MET	DWLWW	1.90	1.10	50%	60%
Penybont	WWLWW	2.10	1.10	70%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	76%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	70%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS Yes	53%	1.80
Penybont Win	50%	1.83
Over 2.5 Goals	50%	1.90

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.