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First League · Russia
Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tekstilshchik host Chelyabinsk in the First League (Russia) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tekstilshchik 2–1 Chelyabinsk.
Going into the match, Tekstilshchik had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. Chelyabinsk had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Tekstilshchik's last 10 and 6 of Chelyabinsk's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tekstilshchik averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Chelyabinsk averaged 0.93 scored and 1.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Tekstilshchik and 1.29 from Chelyabinsk. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 36%, against 30%, 30% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tekstilshchik (green) and Chelyabinsk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tekstilshchik | LLLLD | 0.80 | 1.80 | 40% | 40% |
| Chelyabinsk | LWDWD | 1.20 | 1.40 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.76 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First League matches that day
- Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 - Ska-khabarovsk vs Volga Ulyanovsk · 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.77 · FT 1–2