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II Liga - East · Poland
Świt Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziądz prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Świt Skolwin host Olimpia Grudziądz in the II Liga - East (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Świt Skolwin 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz.
Going into the match, Świt Skolwin had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 21. Olimpia Grudziądz had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Świt Skolwin's last 10 and 7 of Olimpia Grudziądz's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Świt Skolwin averaged 1.42 goals scored and 2.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Olimpia Grudziądz averaged 1.88 scored and 1.35 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Świt Skolwin and 2.10 from Olimpia Grudziądz. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 57%, against 26%, 24% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Świt Skolwin | LWLLL | 0.90 | 2.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Olimpia Grudziądz | WWLDW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Aug 2026 · Olimpia Grudziądz 3–3 Świt Skolwin
- 30 May 2026 · Świt Skolwin 0–1 Olimpia Grudziądz
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Olimpia Grudziądz Win | 50% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other II Liga - East matches that day
- Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 17 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Hutnik Kraków vs Chojniczanka Chojnice · 17 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–2 - Legia Warszawa II vs Tychy 71 · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2