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II Liga - East · Poland
Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Górnik Łęczna host Stal Stalowa Wola in the II Liga - East (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Górnik Łęczna 1–2 Stal Stalowa Wola.
Going into the match, Górnik Łęczna had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Stal Stalowa Wola had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Górnik Łęczna's last 10 and 6 of Stal Stalowa Wola's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Górnik Łęczna averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Stal Stalowa Wola averaged 1.27 scored and 2.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from Górnik Łęczna and 1.56 from Stal Stalowa Wola. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 30%, against 54%, 25% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Górnik Łęczna (green) and Stal Stalowa Wola (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Łęczna | LWDDW | 2.20 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Stal Stalowa Wola | WLWLD | 1.80 | 2.40 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Górnik Łęczna Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other II Liga - East matches that day
- Świt Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Hutnik Kraków vs Chojniczanka Chojnice · 17 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–2 - Legia Warszawa II vs Tychy 71 · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2