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II Liga - East · Poland
Legia Warszawa II vs Tychy 71 prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Legia Warszawa II host Tychy 71 in the II Liga - East (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Legia Warszawa II 1–2 Tychy 71.
Going into the match, Legia Warszawa II had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 17. Tychy 71 had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Legia Warszawa II's last 10 and 4 of Tychy 71's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Legia Warszawa II averaged 2.42 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Tychy 71 averaged 1.18 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Legia Warszawa II and 1.33 from Tychy 71. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 41%, against 24%, 25% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Legia Warszawa II (green) and Tychy 71 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa II | DWWLL | 2.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
| Tychy 71 | WWDDW | 1.50 | 0.50 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other II Liga - East matches that day
- Świt Skolwin vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 17 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Hutnik Kraków vs Chojniczanka Chojnice · 17 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–2