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Premier League · England
Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sunderland host Chelsea in the Premier League (England) on 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sunderland had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Chelsea had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sunderland's last 10 and 6 of Chelsea's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sunderland averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Chelsea averaged 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Sunderland and 1.71 from Chelsea. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 43%, against 25%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sunderland (green) and Chelsea (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | LLWDD | 1.10 | 1.80 | 50% | 40% |
| Chelsea | WDLWW | 2.30 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Manchester United vs Aston Villa · 8 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Brighton vs Brentford · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Crystal Palace vs Liverpool · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Ipswich vs Bournemouth · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73