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Premier League · England
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Selhurst Park, London
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Crystal Palace host Liverpool in the Premier League (England) on 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Crystal Palace had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Liverpool had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Crystal Palace's last 10 and 6 of Liverpool's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Crystal Palace averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.53 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Liverpool averaged 2.38 scored and 2.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Crystal Palace and 1.95 from Liverpool. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 53%, against 17%, 22% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Crystal Palace (green) and Liverpool (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | DLWLD | 0.90 | 1.80 | 40% | 40% |
| Liverpool | LLDWW | 2.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Liverpool Win | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Manchester United vs Aston Villa · 8 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Brighton vs Brentford · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Ipswich vs Bournemouth · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 - Sunderland vs Chelsea · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70