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Premier League · England
Ipswich vs Bournemouth prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ipswich host Bournemouth in the Premier League (England) on 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ipswich had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 22. Bournemouth had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Ipswich's last 10 and 3 of Bournemouth's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ipswich averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Bournemouth averaged 2.00 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Ipswich and 2.43 from Bournemouth. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 64%, against 25%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ipswich (green) and Bournemouth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | DDLWL | 1.70 | 2.20 | 80% | 70% |
| Bournemouth | WWWWW | 2.20 | 0.80 | 30% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Manchester United vs Aston Villa · 8 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Brighton vs Brentford · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Crystal Palace vs Liverpool · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Sunderland vs Chelsea · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70