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Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg vs Auxerre prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Strasbourg host Auxerre in the Ligue 1 (France) on 1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Strasbourg had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 21. Auxerre had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Strasbourg's last 10 and 8 of Auxerre's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Strasbourg averaged 1.45 goals scored and 2.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Auxerre averaged 1.67 scored and 2.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from Strasbourg and 1.99 from Auxerre. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 38%, against 53%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Strasbourg (green) and Auxerre (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | LLLLD | 1.30 | 2.10 | 70% | 70% |
| Auxerre | DWLWW | 1.70 | 2.10 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Strasbourg Win | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Marseille vs Toulouse · 1 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Lyon vs Angers · 1 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Lyon Win @ 1.40 - Paris FC vs Monaco · 1 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40