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III Liga - Group 4 · Poland
Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Star Starachowice host Korona Kielce II in the III Liga - Group 4 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.47, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Star Starachowice 4–1 Korona Kielce II.
Going into the match, Star Starachowice had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Korona Kielce II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Star Starachowice's last 10 and 6 of Korona Kielce II's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Star Starachowice averaged 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Korona Kielce II averaged 1.44 scored and 3.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.25 goals from Star Starachowice and 1.83 from Korona Kielce II. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 31%, against 43%, 24% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Starachowice | DWDLD | 1.10 | 1.30 | 40% | 50% |
| Korona Kielce II | WWLDL | 2.00 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| Star Starachowice Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Star Starachowice form and statistics
- Korona Kielce II form and statistics
- III Liga - Group 4 statistics
Other III Liga - Group 4 matches that day
- Wisłoka Dębica vs Naprzód · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Jarosław vs KSZO 1929 · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Sokół Kolb. vs Wisła Kraków II · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–1 - Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Moravia Morawica · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50