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III Liga - Group 4 · Poland

KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Moravia Morawica prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 64%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

KS Wieczysta Krakow II host Moravia Morawica in the III Liga - Group 4 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: KS Wieczysta Krakow II 1–0 Moravia Morawica.

Going into the match, KS Wieczysta Krakow II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Moravia Morawica had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of KS Wieczysta Krakow II's last 10 and 5 of Moravia Morawica's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home KS Wieczysta Krakow II averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Moravia Morawica averaged 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from KS Wieczysta Krakow II and 0.69 from Moravia Morawica. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 17%, against 54%, 22% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 34%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between KS Wieczysta Krakow II (green) and Moravia Morawica (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form63% – 38%
Attack33% – 67%
Defence67% – 33%
Overall strength48% – 51%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
KS Wieczysta Krakow IIDWLDL0.900.9040%30%
Moravia MorawicaDLLLL1.102.0050%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X78%1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals76%1.21
BTTS 1st Half - No72%1.27
Over 2.5 Goals64%1.50
BTTS Yes63%1.46
KS Wieczysta Krakow II Win56%1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals55%1.67
KS Wieczysta Krakow II HT & FT37%2.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other III Liga - Group 4 matches that day