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III Liga - Group 4 · Poland
Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Czarni Połaniec host Chełmianka Chełm in the III Liga - Group 4 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Chełmianka Chełm to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Czarni Połaniec had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Chełmianka Chełm had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Czarni Połaniec's last 10 and 3 of Chełmianka Chełm's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Czarni Połaniec averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Chełmianka Chełm averaged 1.55 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Czarni Połaniec and 1.47 from Chełmianka Chełm. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 46%. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Czarni Połaniec (green) and Chełmianka Chełm (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czarni Połaniec | DLWWW | 1.70 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
| Chełmianka Chełm | WDDWW | 1.60 | 0.30 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
- Czarni Połaniec form and statistics
- Chełmianka Chełm form and statistics
- III Liga - Group 4 statistics
Other III Liga - Group 4 matches that day
- Wisłoka Dębica vs Naprzód · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.47 - Jarosław vs KSZO 1929 · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Sokół Kolb. vs Wisła Kraków II · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–1 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - KS Wieczysta Krakow II vs Moravia Morawica · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 4
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50