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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Standard Liège II vs Flénu prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Standard Liège II host Flénu in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Standard Liège II 1–0 Flénu.
Going into the match, Standard Liège II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Flénu had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 30 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Standard Liège II's last 10 and 7 of Flénu's last 10; 2 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Standard Liège II averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Flénu averaged 1.50 scored and 2.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.08 goals from Standard Liège II and 0.80 from Flénu. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 12%, against 62%, 21% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Standard Liège II (green) and Flénu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liège II | WWLLD | 1.10 | 0.90 | 40% | 20% |
| Flénu | LLLLL | 1.30 | 3.00 | 70% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Standard Liège II Win | 58% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Standard Liège II HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First Amateur Division matches that day
- Knokke vs Merelbeke · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First Amateur Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46 · FT 0–3 - Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Harelbeke · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First Amateur Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 4–1