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First Amateur Division · Belgium

Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Harelbeke prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 68%Final score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Oud-Heverlee Leuven II host Harelbeke in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 4–1 Harelbeke.

Going into the match, Oud-Heverlee Leuven II had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 17. Harelbeke had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Oud-Heverlee Leuven II's last 10 and 3 of Harelbeke's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Oud-Heverlee Leuven II averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Harelbeke averaged 0.67 scored and 1.83 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.71 goals from Oud-Heverlee Leuven II and 1.01 from Harelbeke. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 11%, against 64%, 20% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Oud-Heverlee Leuven II (green) and Harelbeke (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form71% – 29%
Attack75% – 25%
Defence61% – 39%
Overall strength75% – 25%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIDLWWW2.201.7080%90%
HarelbekeWLDLL0.702.0030%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No73%1.26
Over 2.5 Goals68%1.40
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II Win66%1.40
BTTS Yes61%1.49
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals53%1.79
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II HT & FT45%2.05
2-110%9.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other First Amateur Division matches that day