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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Knokke vs Merelbeke prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Knokke host Merelbeke in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Knokke 0–3 Merelbeke.
Going into the match, Knokke had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 21. Merelbeke had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Knokke's last 10 and 4 of Merelbeke's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Knokke averaged 2.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Merelbeke averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Knokke and 1.53 from Merelbeke. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 43%, against 46%, 25% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Knokke (green) and Merelbeke (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.61 |
| Knokke Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Knokke HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First Amateur Division matches that day
- Standard Liège II vs Flénu · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First Amateur Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–0 - Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Harelbeke · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First Amateur Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 4–1