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Non League Premier - Southern Central · England
Stamford vs Real Bedford prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stamford host Real Bedford in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stamford 0–4 Real Bedford.
Going into the match, Stamford had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 26. Real Bedford had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Stamford's last 10 and 8 of Real Bedford's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stamford averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Real Bedford averaged 2.78 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.59 goals from Stamford and 3.93 from Real Bedford. From that it rates a home win at 2%, a draw at 6% and an away win at 92%, against 12%, 17% and 71% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stamford (green) and Real Bedford (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamford | DLLLL | 0.30 | 2.60 | 20% | 70% |
| Real Bedford | DLWLW | 2.40 | 1.60 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Bedford Win | 70% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| Real Bedford 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Real Bedford HT & FT | 52% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.81 |
| 0-3 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Stamford form and statistics
- Real Bedford form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Southern Central statistics
Other Non League Premier - Southern Central matches that day
- Bishop's Stortford vs Racing Club Warwick · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Bromsgrove Sporting vs Banbury United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Bromsgrove Sporting Win @ 1.45 · FT 1–1 - Bury Town vs Stourbridge · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - Halesowen Town vs Hitchin Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Halesowen Town Win @ 1.57 · FT 2–1 - Leamington vs Needham Market · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.51 · FT 1–2 - Leighton Town vs Rushall Olympic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.47 · FT 0–3 - Stratford Town vs Peterborough Sports · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53