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Non League Premier - Southern Central · England
Leamington vs Needham Market prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leamington host Needham Market in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.51, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leamington 1–2 Needham Market.
Going into the match, Leamington had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Needham Market had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Leamington's last 10 and 4 of Needham Market's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leamington averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Needham Market averaged 1.82 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Leamington and 1.86 from Needham Market. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 43%, against 32%, 25% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leamington (green) and Needham Market (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leamington | DLWDL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
| Needham Market | WDLWW | 2.40 | 1.30 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Needham Market Win | 43% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.25 |
| Needham Market HT & FT | 28% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Leamington form and statistics
- Needham Market form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Southern Central statistics
Other Non League Premier - Southern Central matches that day
- Bishop's Stortford vs Racing Club Warwick · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Bromsgrove Sporting vs Banbury United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Bromsgrove Sporting Win @ 1.45 · FT 1–1 - Bury Town vs Stourbridge · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - Halesowen Town vs Hitchin Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Halesowen Town Win @ 1.57 · FT 2–1 - Leighton Town vs Rushall Olympic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.47 · FT 0–3 - Stamford vs Real Bedford · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–4 - Stratford Town vs Peterborough Sports · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53