Home › League stats › Non League Premier - Southern Central › Bury Town vs Stourbridge
Non League Premier - Southern Central · England
Bury Town vs Stourbridge prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bury Town host Stourbridge in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.61, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bury Town 2–0 Stourbridge.
Going into the match, Bury Town had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 21. Stourbridge had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bury Town's last 10 and 7 of Stourbridge's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bury Town averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Stourbridge averaged 2.13 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.16 goals from Bury Town and 1.17 from Stourbridge. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 19%, against 45%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bury Town (green) and Stourbridge (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury Town | LWLDW | 1.40 | 2.10 | 50% | 60% |
| Stourbridge | WWLDW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| Bury Town Win | 45% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Bury Town form and statistics
- Stourbridge form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Southern Central statistics
Other Non League Premier - Southern Central matches that day
- Bishop's Stortford vs Racing Club Warwick · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Bromsgrove Sporting vs Banbury United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Bromsgrove Sporting Win @ 1.45 · FT 1–1 - Halesowen Town vs Hitchin Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Halesowen Town Win @ 1.57 · FT 2–1 - Leamington vs Needham Market · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.51 · FT 1–2 - Leighton Town vs Rushall Olympic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.47 · FT 0–3 - Stamford vs Real Bedford · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–4 - Stratford Town vs Peterborough Sports · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53