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Premiership · Scotland
ST Mirren vs Dundee prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ST Mirren host Dundee in the Premiership (Scotland) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, ST Mirren had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 22. Dundee had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of ST Mirren's last 10 and 6 of Dundee's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ST Mirren averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Dundee averaged 1.31 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from ST Mirren and 1.68 from Dundee. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 44%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ST Mirren (green) and Dundee (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Dundee 1–0 ST Mirren
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premiership matches that day
- Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Falkirk vs Kilmarnock · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Rangers vs ST Johnstone · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44