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Premiership · Scotland
Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dundee Utd host Aberdeen in the Premiership (Scotland) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Dundee Utd had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Aberdeen had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Dundee Utd's last 10 and 4 of Aberdeen's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dundee Utd averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Aberdeen averaged 1.77 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.97 goals from Dundee Utd and 1.35 from Aberdeen. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 44%, against 44%, 27% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dundee Utd (green) and Aberdeen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | DWWDL | 1.10 | 1.60 | 30% | 50% |
| Aberdeen | WLWDW | 1.60 | 0.90 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Aberdeen 2–0 Dundee Utd
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premiership matches that day
- Falkirk vs Kilmarnock · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Rangers vs ST Johnstone · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - ST Mirren vs Dundee · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50