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Segunda Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting CP B host Portimonense in the Segunda Liga (Portugal) on 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sporting CP B had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Portimonense had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sporting CP B's last 10 and 4 of Portimonense's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting CP B averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Portimonense averaged 0.90 scored and 0.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Sporting CP B and 0.90 from Portimonense. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 29%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting CP B (green) and Portimonense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP B | WWLWW | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
| Portimonense | WWWLL | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Sporting CP B Win | 45% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda Liga matches that day
- Farense vs Penafiel · 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 - Feirense vs Benfica B · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Academica vs Leixoes · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30