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First League · Russia

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.48Market probability 64%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Shinnik Yaroslavl host Spartak Kostroma in the First League (Russia) on 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Spartak Kostroma to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Shinnik Yaroslavl had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Spartak Kostroma had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 10 and 2 of Spartak Kostroma's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shinnik Yaroslavl averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Spartak Kostroma averaged 1.07 scored and 1.20 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Shinnik Yaroslavl and 0.81 from Spartak Kostroma. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 27%, against 36%, 32% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Shinnik Yaroslavl (green) and Spartak Kostroma (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack36% – 64%
Defence63% – 38%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Shinnik YaroslavlDLWDL1.101.0040%30%
Spartak KostromaWWLLW1.200.8020%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other First League matches that day