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First League · Russia
FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC UFA host Nizhny Novgorod in the First League (Russia) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Nizhny Novgorod Win — Nizhny Novgorod to win. It was published at odds of 1.61, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC UFA had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Nizhny Novgorod had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 31 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC UFA's last 10 and 6 of Nizhny Novgorod's last 10; 3 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC UFA averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Nizhny Novgorod averaged 1.79 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from FC UFA and 1.79 from Nizhny Novgorod. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 54%, against 18%, 24% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC UFA (green) and Nizhny Novgorod (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | WLDLD | 1.10 | 0.90 | 50% | 30% |
| Nizhny Novgorod | WWWWW | 3.10 | 0.80 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 FC UFA
- 16 Jun 2026 · Nizhny Novgorod 2–2 FC UFA
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| Nizhny Novgorod Win | 57% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.02 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First League matches that day
- Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: FC Sochi Win @ 1.70 - Ska-khabarovsk vs Enisey · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73