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First League · Russia
Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arsenal Tula host KAMAZ in the First League (Russia) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Arsenal Tula to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Arsenal Tula had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 20. KAMAZ had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Arsenal Tula's last 10 and 5 of KAMAZ's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arsenal Tula averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home KAMAZ averaged 1.00 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Arsenal Tula and 1.31 from KAMAZ. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 31%, against 48%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arsenal Tula (green) and KAMAZ (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula | LWLWL | 1.10 | 2.00 | 50% | 60% |
| KAMAZ | WDWDL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other First League matches that day
- Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: FC Sochi Win @ 1.70 - FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Nizhny Novgorod Win @ 1.61 - Ska-khabarovsk vs Enisey · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73