Home › League stats › Second League - Group 1 › Sevastopol vs Izberbash
Second League - Group 1 · Russia
Sevastopol vs Izberbash prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sevastopol host Izberbash in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sevastopol 2–2 Izberbash.
Going into the match, Sevastopol had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 8. Izberbash had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sevastopol's last 10 and 6 of Izberbash's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sevastopol averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Izberbash averaged 0.93 scored and 2.86 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.16 goals from Sevastopol and 0.66 from Izberbash. From that it rates a home win at 85%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 4%, against 72%, 20% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sevastopol (green) and Izberbash (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevastopol | WWWWW | 2.40 | 0.80 | 50% | 60% |
| Izberbash | LDDWL | 0.70 | 2.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Izberbash 0–3 Sevastopol
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Sevastopol Win | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.54 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| Sevastopol 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| Sevastopol HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.76 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League - Group 1 matches that day
- Nart Cherkessk vs Rostov II · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 1–3 - Druzhba vs Lugansk · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Kyzyltash vs Pobeda · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.45 - Spartak Nalchik vs FK Chayka 2 · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Angust Nazran vs Shahter Taganrog · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2