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Second League - Group 1 · Russia
Nart Cherkessk vs Rostov II prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nart Cherkessk host Rostov II in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nart Cherkessk 1–3 Rostov II.
Going into the match, Nart Cherkessk had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Rostov II had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Nart Cherkessk's last 10 and 1 of Rostov II's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nart Cherkessk averaged 0.92 goals scored and 0.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Rostov II averaged 2.09 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Nart Cherkessk and 1.23 from Rostov II. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 40%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nart Cherkessk (green) and Rostov II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nart Cherkessk | WWDWL | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Rostov II | DLDLW | 1.50 | 0.70 | 10% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Rostov II 0–1 Nart Cherkessk
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League - Group 1 matches that day
- Druzhba vs Lugansk · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Kyzyltash vs Pobeda · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.45 - Sevastopol vs Izberbash · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.55 - Spartak Nalchik vs FK Chayka 2 · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Angust Nazran vs Shahter Taganrog · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2