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Premier League · Russia
Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rubin host Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League (Russia) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.32, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rubin had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Krylia Sovetov had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Rubin's last 10 and 6 of Krylia Sovetov's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rubin averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Krylia Sovetov averaged 1.17 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Rubin and 1.25 from Krylia Sovetov. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 35%, against 40%, 29% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rubin (green) and Krylia Sovetov (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin | LLLDD | 1.00 | 1.60 | 80% | 30% |
| Krylia Sovetov | LLDDW | 1.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Jul 2026 · Rubin 2–0 Krylia Sovetov
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.76 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.07 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- FC Krasnodar vs Baltika · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Fakel vs Rodina Moskva · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.34 - Akron vs Dynamo · 24 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.42