Home › League stats › Premier League › FC Krasnodar vs Baltika
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar vs Baltika prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Krasnodar host Baltika in the Premier League (Russia) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Krasnodar had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Baltika had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Krasnodar's last 10 and 4 of Baltika's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Krasnodar averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Baltika averaged 1.86 scored and 0.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from FC Krasnodar and 1.14 from Baltika. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 36%, against 54%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Krasnodar (green) and Baltika (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | DLLDD | 1.20 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
| Baltika | DWDLD | 1.10 | 0.80 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Jul 2026 · FC Krasnodar 1–1 Baltika
- 19 Apr 2026 · FC Krasnodar 2–2 Baltika
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 79% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.72 |
| FC Krasnodar Win | 53% | 1.77 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov · 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32 - Fakel vs Rodina Moskva · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.34 - Akron vs Dynamo · 24 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.42