Home › League stats › Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 › RSD Alcalá vs SS Reyes
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
RSD Alcalá vs SS Reyes prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
RSD Alcalá host SS Reyes in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, RSD Alcalá had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. SS Reyes had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of RSD Alcalá's last 10 and 3 of SS Reyes's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home RSD Alcalá averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home SS Reyes averaged 1.71 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from RSD Alcalá and 1.25 from SS Reyes. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 35%, against 31%, 29% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSD Alcalá | DDLLW | 1.20 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| SS Reyes | WLWLD | 1.20 | 1.10 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| SS Reyes Win | 35% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| 1-1 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- RSD Alcalá form and statistics
- SS Reyes form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches that day
- Atlético Paso vs Real Ávila · 24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.27 - Numancia vs Navalcarnero · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Numancia Win @ 1.57