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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Atlético Paso vs Real Ávila prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlético Paso host Real Ávila in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.27, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Atlético Paso had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Real Ávila had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Atlético Paso's last 10 and 5 of Real Ávila's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlético Paso averaged 0.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Real Ávila averaged 1.00 scored and 2.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Atlético Paso and 1.02 from Real Ávila. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 25%, against 36%, 28% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Paso | DLWDL | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| Real Ávila | LDLWW | 1.10 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 1.90 |
| Real Ávila Win | 33% | 2.45 |
| Atlético Paso HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Atlético Paso form and statistics
- Real Ávila form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches that day
- RSD Alcalá vs SS Reyes · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Numancia vs Navalcarnero · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Numancia Win @ 1.57