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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal
Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rio Ave U23 host Portimonense U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Rio Ave U23 Win — Rio Ave U23 to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rio Ave U23 4–0 Portimonense U23.
Going into the match, Rio Ave U23 had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Portimonense U23 had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rio Ave U23's last 10 and 5 of Portimonense U23's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rio Ave U23 averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Portimonense U23 averaged 0.50 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Rio Ave U23 and 0.50 from Portimonense U23. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 9%, against 56%, 24% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rio Ave U23 (green) and Portimonense U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave U23 | DDWDW | 1.20 | 1.00 | 50% | 30% |
| Portimonense U23 | LDLLD | 0.60 | 1.40 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Rio Ave U23 1–0 Portimonense U23
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| Rio Ave U23 Win | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.05 |
| Rio Ave U23 HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Revelação U23 matches that day
- Academico Viseu U23 vs Penafiel U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 · FT 0–0 - Estrela U23 vs Farense U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 1–1 - União Leiria U23 vs Torreense U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Marítimo U23 vs Famalicão U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 0–1