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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal
Marítimo U23 vs Famalicão U23 prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marítimo U23 host Famalicão U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Marítimo U23 0–1 Famalicão U23.
Going into the match, Marítimo U23 had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Famalicão U23 had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Marítimo U23's last 10 and 8 of Famalicão U23's last 10; 4 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marítimo U23 averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Famalicão U23 averaged 2.00 scored and 2.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Marítimo U23 and 1.65 from Famalicão U23. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 44%, against 23%, 22% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Marítimo U23 (green) and Famalicão U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marítimo U23 | WLLLD | 0.90 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
| Famalicão U23 | WWLLL | 1.60 | 2.50 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.56 |
| Famalicão U23 Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Famalicão U23 HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-2 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Revelação U23 matches that day
- Academico Viseu U23 vs Penafiel U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 · FT 0–0 - Estrela U23 vs Farense U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 1–1 - União Leiria U23 vs Torreense U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: Rio Ave U23 Win @ 1.60 · FT 4–0