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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal
Estrela U23 vs Farense U23 prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Estrela U23 host Farense U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Estrela U23 1–1 Farense U23.
Going into the match, Estrela U23 had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 17. Farense U23 had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Estrela U23's last 10 and 8 of Farense U23's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Estrela U23 averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Farense U23 averaged 1.50 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Estrela U23 and 1.52 from Farense U23. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 45%, against 34%, 27% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Estrela U23 (green) and Farense U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela U23 | LLDWL | 0.70 | 1.70 | 40% | 60% |
| Farense U23 | LLDLW | 1.50 | 1.50 | 80% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Apr 2026 · Farense U23 1–0 Estrela U23
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.90 |
| Farense U23 Win | 38% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Revelação U23 matches that day
- Academico Viseu U23 vs Penafiel U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 · FT 0–0 - União Leiria U23 vs Torreense U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Marítimo U23 vs Famalicão U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 0–1 - Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: Rio Ave U23 Win @ 1.60 · FT 4–0