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La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad vs Levante prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Sociedad host Levante in the La Liga (Spain) on 25 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Real Sociedad had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 15. Levante had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Real Sociedad's last 10 and 7 of Levante's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Sociedad averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Levante averaged 0.91 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.32 goals from Real Sociedad and 1.52 from Levante. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 24%, against 59%, 21% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Sociedad (green) and Levante (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | WWDWW | 2.40 | 1.50 | 70% | 80% |
| Levante | WDDLL | 1.80 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Real Sociedad Win | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other La Liga matches that day
- Barcelona vs Real Madrid · 25 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Barcelona Win @ 1.65 - Celta Vigo vs Real Betis · 25 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Athletic Club vs Getafe · 25 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Athletic Club Win @ 1.57