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La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Celta Vigo host Real Betis in the La Liga (Spain) on 25 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Celta Vigo had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Real Betis had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Celta Vigo's last 10 and 7 of Real Betis's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Celta Vigo averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Real Betis averaged 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Celta Vigo and 1.16 from Real Betis. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 36%, against 29%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Celta Vigo (green) and Real Betis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | WWLDW | 1.20 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
| Real Betis | WLWWD | 2.10 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other La Liga matches that day
- Barcelona vs Real Madrid · 25 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Barcelona Win @ 1.65 - Real Sociedad vs Levante · 25 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Athletic Club vs Getafe · 25 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Athletic Club Win @ 1.57