Home › League stats › La Liga › Athletic Club vs Getafe
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club vs Getafe prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Athletic Club host Getafe in the La Liga (Spain) on 25 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Athletic Club Win — Athletic Club to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Athletic Club had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Getafe had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Athletic Club's last 10 and 6 of Getafe's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Athletic Club averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Getafe averaged 0.47 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Athletic Club and 0.70 from Getafe. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 14%, against 60%, 24% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Athletic Club (green) and Getafe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | LDDDW | 0.90 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
| Getafe | LDDLW | 0.80 | 1.60 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Athletic Club Win | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other La Liga matches that day
- Barcelona vs Real Madrid · 25 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Barcelona Win @ 1.65 - Real Sociedad vs Levante · 25 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Celta Vigo vs Real Betis · 25 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44